Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 10.332880 11.944264 13.669704 15.648536 17.848862 20.214017 22.942081
2025-02-23 8.104594 10.173325 12.529642 15.391099 18.749880 22.544988 27.133825
2025-03-02 6.503480 8.774865 11.503507 14.979912 19.245029 24.259759 30.550497
2025-03-09 5.429720 7.816445 10.821846 14.812726 19.895351 26.071326 34.054128
2025-03-16 4.517782 6.918959 10.079722 14.440323 20.184659 27.372133 36.909185
2025-03-23 3.950098 6.395308 9.743138 14.517770 20.991784 29.294465 40.554037
2025-03-30 3.441115 5.881681 9.352245 14.460051 21.574831 30.908670 43.820208
2025-04-06 3.082004 5.538470 9.154674 14.629320 22.439120 32.890242 47.597946
2025-04-13 2.772561 5.230087 8.969832 14.784455 23.265557 34.824617 51.348881
2025-04-20 2.570031 5.065471 8.977299 15.204253 24.464466 37.286490 55.864509
2025-04-27 2.361351 4.864074 8.904957 15.487771 25.463310 39.487802 60.071345
2025-05-04 2.116728 4.570349 8.657523 15.478112 26.016638 41.065072 63.441827
2025-05-11 1.776620 4.065446 8.025974 14.829295 25.586188 41.230056 64.849289
2025-05-18 1.561269 3.762761 7.702065 14.641039 25.831305 42.360185 67.637950
2025-05-25 1.344467 3.426420 7.287167 14.269278 25.762078 43.010879 69.737209
2025-06-01 1.186387 3.185978 7.018444 14.117892 26.021604 44.143732 72.551443
2025-06-08 1.021349 2.905468 6.648569 13.763272 25.928322 44.727990 74.557526
2025-06-15 0.927048 2.766981 6.531924 13.839365 26.532134 46.383291 78.185740
2025-06-22 0.828411 2.603238 6.350466 13.784433 26.909349 47.690607 81.312697
2025-06-29 0.761974 2.506554 6.292617 13.947645 27.653851 49.584965 85.365821
2025-07-06 0.700397 2.412448 6.230931 14.097112 28.375554 51.456538 89.419098
2025-07-13 0.666254 2.384359 6.303634 14.501394 29.547553 54.070123 94.666066
2025-07-20 0.623652 2.327138 6.308901 14.774470 30.496578 56.344714 99.428818